Ok, so it's a little late in the day for this - in fact, the awards are already actually happening - but I'm avoiding any live feeds and sticking with the BBC coverage like the rest of the public (I wasn't allowed into the ceremony this year after I assaulted James McAvoy two years ago).

But with the Writers Guild awards giving the goods to The Hurt Locker and Up in the Air, James Cameron's hold on the evening is looking a little less firm. Will Avatar take home the big awards? I really hope not. And I don't think it will so far from its home shores; this is Britain's Academy and I like to think it's a little less swayed by box office takings.

On that naive note, here's a brief rundown of my predictions for tonight. Best Film and Director will hopefully go to The Hurt Locker and Kathryn Bigelow, with Cameron picking up the visual effects award - Hurt Locker will take all the technical visuals, because it's such an impressive piece of art. Avatar just has blue people in it.

Outstanding Debut will obviously go to Duncan Jones for the incredible Moon, which doesn't get much of a look in otherwise. Best British Film will head to An Education (but Fish Tank is the film that should really win it). As for writing awards, it's all about Up in the Air and The Hurt Locker (but I'd love it if A Serious Man and In The Loop won instead). I want Let the Right One In to get Best Foreign Film, but it will most likely go to A Prophet - Haneke triumphed in Cannes, but us Brits prefer prison flicks that are gritty and stylish. With Up scooping Best Animated and Best Score, the only other place where an upset might happen is Best Actor; could Colin Firth unsettle the near-certain Jeff Bridges? Not in America, but on his home turf? It's quite possible. As for Carey Mulligan? Well, she's clearly the Best Actress around (a special thank you to Sandra Bullock for not being nominated).

And finally, the Orange Rising Star? Well, I want Carey Mulligan to carry as many masks home as possible, but with all the fans of Twilight taking over the country, I can imagine that Kristen Stewart is a tiny bit of a favourite. Did you know Robert Pattinson will be there too? Commence screaming now. Then read on for the full predictions (in italics).

BEST FILM

Avatar

An Education

The Hurt Locker

Precious: Based on the novel Push by Sapphire

Up In The Air

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

An Education

Fish Tank

In The Loop

Moon

Nowhere Boy

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER

Lucy Bailey, Andrew Thompson, Elizabeth Morgan Hemlock, David Pearson Directors, Producers – Mugabe and the White African

Eran Creevy Writer/Director – Shifty

Stuart Hazeldine Writer/Director – Exam

Duncan Jones Director – Moon

Sam Taylor-Wood Director – Nowhere Boy

DIRECTOR

James Cameron - Avatar

Neill Blomkamp - District 9

Lone Scherfig - An Education

Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker

Quentin Tarantino - Inglourious Basterds

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Jon Lucas, Scott Moore - The Hangover

Mark Boal - The Hurt Locker

Quentin Tarantino - Inglourious Basterds

Joel Coen, Ethan Coen - A Serious Man

Bob Peterson, Pete Docter - Up

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell - District 9

Nick Hornby - An Education

Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche - In The Loop

Geoffrey Fletcher - Precious: Based on the novel Push by Sapphire

Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner - Up In The Air

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

Broken Embraces

Coco Before Chanel

Let The Right One In

A Prophet

The White Ribbon

ANIMATED FILM

Coraline

Fantastic Mr Fox

Up

LEADING ACTOR

Jeff Bridges - Crazy Heart

George Clooney - Up in the Air

Colin Firth - A Single Man

Jeremy Renner - The Hurt Locker

Andy Serkis - Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll

LEADING ACTRESS

Carey Mulligan - An Education

Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones

Gabourey Sidibe - Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire

Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia

Audrey Tautou - Coco Before Chanel

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Alec Baldwin - It’s Complicated

Christian McKay - Me and Orson Welles

Alfred Molina - An Education

Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones

Christoph Waltz - Inglourious Basterds

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Anne-Marie Duff - Nowhere Boy

Vera Farmiga - Up in the Air

Anna Kendrick - Up in the Air

Mo'Nique - Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire

Kristin Scott-Thomas - Nowhere Boy

MUSIC

Avatar - James Horner

Crazy Heart - T-Bone Burnett, Stephen Bruton

Fantastic Mr Fox - Alexandre Desplat

Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll - Chaz Jankel

Up - Michael Giacchino

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Avatar - Mauro Fiore

District 9 - Trent Opaloch

The Hurt Locker - Barry Ackroyd

Inglourious Basterds - Robert Richardson

The Road - Javier Aguirresarobe

EDITING

Avatar - Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua, James Cameron

District 9 - Julian Clarke

The Hurt Locker - Bob Murawski, Chris Innis

Inglourious Basterds - Sally Menke

Up In The Air - Dana E. Glauberman

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Avatar

District 9

Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus

Inglourious Basterds

COSTUME DESIGN

Bright Star

Coco Before Chanel

An Education

A Single Man

The Young Victoria

SOUND

Avatar

District 9

The Hurt Locker

Star Trek

Up

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar

District 9

Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

The Hurt Locker

Star Trek

MAKE UP & HAIR

Coco Before Chanel

An Education

The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus

Nine

The Young Victoria

SHORT ANIMATION

The Gruffalo

The Happy Duckling

Mother of Many

SHORT FILM

14

I Do Air

Jade

Mixtape

Off Season

THE ORANGE RISING STAR AWARD

Jesse Eisenberg

Nicholas Hoult

Carey Mulligan

Tahar Rahim

Kristen Stewart